Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Performance

NCLH Stock  USD 23.05  1.09  4.96%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Norwegian Cruise holds a performance score of 9. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.96, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Norwegian Cruise will likely underperform. Please check Norwegian Cruise's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Norwegian Cruise's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Norwegian Cruise Line are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly uncertain essential indicators, Norwegian Cruise demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.19)
Five Day Return
5.53
Year To Date Return
(3.60)
Ten Year Return
(53.34)
All Time Return
(11.42)
1
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Begin Period Cash Flow402.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.2 B

Norwegian Cruise Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,879  in Norwegian Cruise Line on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  426.00  from holding Norwegian Cruise Line or generate 22.67% return on investment over 90 days. Norwegian Cruise Line is currently generating 0.3734% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.9881% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Norwegian, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Norwegian Cruise is expected to generate 4.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Norwegian Cruise Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Norwegian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.05 90 days 23.05 
about 15.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norwegian Cruise to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.31 (This Norwegian Cruise Line probability density function shows the probability of Norwegian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.96 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Norwegian Cruise will likely underperform. Additionally Norwegian Cruise Line has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Norwegian Cruise Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Norwegian Cruise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norwegian Cruise Line. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.2323.2226.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.9024.8927.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.5024.4927.48
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.2127.7030.75
Details

Norwegian Cruise Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norwegian Cruise is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norwegian Cruise's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norwegian Cruise Line, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norwegian Cruise within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.96
σ
Overall volatility
2.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Norwegian Cruise Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norwegian Cruise for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norwegian Cruise Line can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norwegian Cruise Line currently holds 13.92 B in liabilities. Norwegian Cruise Line has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Norwegian Cruise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Norwegian Cruise Line Is Up 10.1 percent After Earnings Upgrade And Strategic Leadership Shift Whats Changed

Norwegian Cruise Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norwegian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norwegian Cruise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norwegian Cruise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding515 M
Cash And Short Term Investments190.8 M

Norwegian Cruise Fundamentals Growth

Norwegian Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Norwegian Cruise, and Norwegian Cruise fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Norwegian Stock performance.

About Norwegian Cruise Performance

By evaluating Norwegian Cruise's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Norwegian Cruise's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Norwegian Cruise has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Norwegian Cruise has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 8.65  8.25 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.73  0.77 

Things to note about Norwegian Cruise Line performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Norwegian Cruise for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Norwegian Cruise Line help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norwegian Cruise Line currently holds 13.92 B in liabilities. Norwegian Cruise Line has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Norwegian Cruise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Norwegian Cruise Line Is Up 10.1 percent After Earnings Upgrade And Strategic Leadership Shift Whats Changed
Evaluating Norwegian Cruise's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Norwegian Cruise's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Norwegian Cruise's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Norwegian Cruise's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Norwegian Cruise's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Norwegian Cruise's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Norwegian Cruise's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Norwegian Cruise's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Norwegian Cruise's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Norwegian Cruise's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Norwegian Cruise's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Norwegian Cruise's price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Cruise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Cruise is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Cruise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Cruise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Cruise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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